Meeting Results Summary
Platinum Profit:Betfair SP: +$1,821.44
Basic Premium Profit:Corp SP: +$110.00 Betfair SP: +$130.00
A huge day for members with Platinum subscribers taking their pick on #3 Power Dream in R5 at a massive price of $12.67 (with SP a much shorter $11.00) locking in a 779.06% POT despite the slowness of the track.
We made the right choice to skip over the first 3 with runners all over the place topped off by $26.00 #8 Lessur and $21.00 #5 Mariami trouncing over crowd favourite #2 That Girl ($3.10 placing 8th) as $26.00 #10 Modear gets the cookie with the other two wheelbarrows just 0.10L and 0.20L behind.
In comparison, R4 played about as perfectly as it gets with plenty of trifectas no doubt firing off as the margin matches the market price with #3 Blazejowski ($3.20/$3.60) providing a healthy win at BSP followed tightly by #7 Sirius Suspect and #5 Embrace Me.
In our preview we mentioned that we didn’t see #4 Wagner anywhere near the danger the market had priced in, and jumping as the crowd favourite at $3.00 we saw the 3rd @ 400m convert to 4th by a margin of 1.10L back up our assertion that the value was to be had elsewhere.
#7 Sirius Suspect was also highlighted as a danger to keep an eye out for, and with a margin of just 0.20L it was pretty much spot on – with the issue around the price the major reason for us avoiding the position this time as value just wasn’t there at the short $5.50 where we wanted the rating to line up closer to $8.00+.
Going forward you’ll likely see us take another couple of positions on #3 Blazejowski if the price is right, and #7 Sirius Suspect will be on the short-list for whenever the market is kinder.
It feels like it’s been a while since we had a decent Platinum-only bet, but today our pro and semi-pro Members will be enjoying the win on #3 Power Dream in R5 as we led across both the 800m and 400m before deflecting a late run from crowd favourite #4 Thousand Wishes to get the nose ahead with another big-priced 0.10L collect.
As a BSP pick this was executed automatically at $12.67 bringing in a whopping profit of $1561.44 at a standard $100 unit as we put out $133.80 in outlay.
For those unfamiliar with Platinum – this is our automated betting system that uses Betfair, $100 standard units (up to $500) and our internal rated prices along with some in-house magic to place bets automatically through your Betfair account. As part of this subscription we also have exclusive bets for these members which follow a slightly different staking strategy which is not suitable for the majority of Basic members.
This time around, our rated price was just $3.61 with the final $12.67 representing a huge overlay of 350.96% as the late price sat comfortably in our favour with other punters failing to find the selection in the field – a larger margin our only wish.
In comparison to other weeks, this Saturday we managed to lock in solid prices across both of our bets with BSP providing a much larger margin than SP in what looks to be a return to the usual baseline we expect across most of the season.
Late races followed messy pace as we mentioned in our preview and we were smart to avoid these ones with winners at $10.00, $11.00 and $17.00 offset only by the one small margin $3.60 winner; allowing us to sit proudly against our early analysis which spotted these are being messy ones to sit out of.
Fortunately we lock in some decent profit – and Platinum members doubly so – as we close off a very strange day at Flemington that we’re sure plenty of Punters did their heads in on.
R4 - 14:53PM - Furlong Bar Handicap (1100m)
R5 - 15:28PM - Summer at Flemington Handicap (1400m)
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