Meeting Results Summary
Platinum Profit:Betfair SP: -$300.00
Basic Premium Profit:Corp SP: -$115.00 Betfair SP: -$150.00
No cookie for us either over at Rosehill Gardens, as we get just the nibble in with #10 Villami in R5 just 0.20L off after a big effort from #1 Tactical Advantage sees the $15.00 roughie take home the prize for us.
There was a late scratching on #4 Bandersnatch in R6 so we’ve recorded that as a void bet – all members will have had their stake returned.
An interesting day where things certainly went to plan a lot better than what we saw over at Flemington, although we’re happy that we avoided the position on #10 Grand Piano, nearly getting run down by #1 Rapido Chaparro at $11.00, $14.00 #9 Sweet Scandal taking down the favourite in R4 and a couple of other close misses including our own #10 Villami in R5.
Our first set of positions in R2 saw #13 Loves to Rock come in significantly from the early $12.00 to settle at a very very short $6.00/$6.15 as Platinum members finish just 3c off the rated price of $6.12 with a “No Bet” on the very skin of the teeth, whilst #1 White Boots sat much more comfortably at an SP of $13.00 and a big margin on the exchange at a BSP of $16.50.
With just an average jump, it’s #11 Welsh Legend, #8 Pirate Ben and #15 Madalong Tapit who got the best position early as #13 Loves to Rock sits well alongside #6 Yonkers with #1 White Boots looking for an opening a little further back.
Hitting 1200m and the leaders have made the mistake of shooting out far too early – a strategy that we see cost them as the final positions come in and their advantage is nowhere to be seen.
By the time we get comfortable passing the 1000m line, #1 White Boots has managed to get out of the early traffic to sit well all by his lonesome, with #13 Loves to Rock not too far ahead in 5th.
It’s coming into the turn where we have the boosters switch on for #1 White Boots as we cross through to the outside in preparation for that late run that we mentioned back in the preview, with the head bob coming in just at the 400m spelling a bit of trouble as #1 White Boots turns the neck out of the reigns with the 5 year old obviously not too happy.
#13 Loves to Rock isn’t getting much love out of the traffic as the mare is left behind #1 White Boot’s attempt to jump out, with no speed coming at the 400m causing her to be swallowed up by the pack and left in the middle.
We’re really not sure what was going on with #1 White Boots just after the 300m as that pull on the reigns from Overmeire pulled him right across to the left, and wasn’t corrected until around 250m by which point it was already too late as #11 Welsh Legend continued to press the early position, as we cut the margin in the final 100m.
We’re not so happy with #13 Loves to Rock, the run here was certainly reflective of the longer early price, whilst missing out on the majority of the value in the late market hadn’t done much for us even if we had nabbed the win.
Probably more frustrating than a tired horse was the weirdness going on late with #1 White Boots – we’re not sure if it was just a mistake around the handling or if the rider was trying to be too smart with the strategy; but it cost us the run that we knew was waiting for us past the 400m and sapped more than 150m out of the effort.
Given #11 Welsh Legend’s very strong run it was always going to be a tough one to handle late, but we definitely expected a closer margin on #1 White Boots given the flow of the race and his tendency to do very well coming into the home stretch.
Heading into R5 and we picked up a slightly shorter price on #10 Villami as we settle at an SP of $4.80 and a slightly better margin at BSP of $4.91 as we the late price fails to impress.
We jumped incredibly well from the get-go as we shot out to the front. #6 Handle the Truth missed the start by about 2 lengths, whilst $31.00 #9 Spending to Win got a decent position ahead of #15 Agent Pippa.
As #9 Spending to Win isn’t having much fun with a very stiff neck indeed, we start to see the pack compress as we continue a very strong length lead coming just up to the 400m.
A couple of failed attempts to increase speed on the outside from #14 Resin is enough to give #1 Tactical Advantage the breathing room, and it’s here that Parr takes full advantage of it to cross over at the 220m, with the head coming down beautifully on the inside of the 100m mark as the 6 year old pulls out his massive legs to close the distance as #8 God of Thunder is close on the heels.
#10 Villami had done exceptionally well, but failed to keep just a little bit more in the tank as we’re pipped on the neck at an official margin of 0.20L to see what should have been a clear win turn into a close 2nd.
Without a doubt there was a big drop in speed at the 180m as Clarkey pushed for consistency rather than putting in the final sprint.
It’s not necessarily a terrible choice to make – but he clearly didn’t see the threat on the outside. We also would’ve liked to have seen him let #9 Spending to Win run himself down earlier on instead of trying to lead the pack as there was quite clearly an issue around the stamina here; something which the late outside – who conserved their energy prior to the turn – obviously had no issue with.
R6 was a late scratching for us in a race that ran fairly averagely led by #1 Dawn Passage, whilst our position on #10 Royal Celebration in R7 sat around the $8.00 mark at the Corporates whilst we saw a rare drop in the price on the exchanges as late backers pushed us all the way in to $7.89 for a very lackluster price post commissions.
We get out well with the jump, sitting around about 4th as #7 Archedemus gets way out early to lead the pack with #8 Amangiri trailing slightly behind #5 Mask of Time.
Pace continued largely the same through the 800m, with traffic still looking to be an issue as we followed up alongside #9 Another Dollar as we wait for a go at it past the straight.
We hit the 400m and this time the neck is going in the right direction for us, as Clipperton tries to time the run as we sit pretty on the outside, with the head going down at the 290m point as not a single leading runner seems to be able to close the gaps.
Coming through the 150m mark and it’s an absolute wall of horses as #7 Archedemus looks to be slowing down against the rail with #8 Amangiri able to keep it up as #16 Live and Free crosses ahead of us,
When all is said and done, it’s about as close as it gets, with 0.90L between 1st and 5th as we tie alongside #1 Gaulois.
We’re not disappointed with the run here, but we think the late push could have come a bit earlier. We stand by the comments in the preview around #8 Amangiri’s early price, with such tight margins around a $7.00 and $31.00 runner showing that a more reflective price is probably up around the mid $6.00s with a very so-so run dominated by a much better performance in #7 Archedemus.
R2 - 13:25PM - THE KOKODA BENCHMARK 78 HANDICAP (2000m)
R5 - 15:10PM - HAWKESBURY XXXX GOLD RUSH (1100m)
R6 - 15:45PM - BLACKTOWN WORKERS CLUB GROUP HAWKESBURY GUINEAS (1400m)
R7 - 16:20PM - CHALKER ACCOUNTANTS HAWKESBURY GOLD CUP (1500m)
Want to get in on the action yourself?
Simply choose the Premium Membership that suits you below, and in two clicks you’ll be part of Australia’s best thoroughbreds tips:
- Basic Membership
- The Best Promo Tips Each Week
- Form-Driven High Value Picks
- Easy To Follow Selections Sheet
- Targeting Long-Term 18% POT
- Sent To Your Inbox Each Race Day
- 5-15 Tips Each Week
- Recurs At $149 / Month
- Platinum Membership
- Fully Automated Bet Placement
- 24/7 Direct Betfair Connection
- Settled At Betfair Starting Price
- For The Time-Poor Pro Punter
- Targeting Long-term 15-16% POT
- 5-15 Tips Each Week
- Recurs At $396 / Month
From the moment you activate your subscription you’ll have complete access to our Premium Member Dashboard and you’ll begin to receive race-day selections combined with the very best Corporate Bookmaker Promos in Australia.