Meeting Results Summary
Platinum Profit:Betfair SP: -$300.00
Basic Premium Profit:Corp SP: -$115.00 Betfair SP: -$150.00
With a couple of short ones starting off the day, we jump right to the 3rd with a 2nd on #5 Nothin’ Leica High as our price comes in significantly from the $4.60 earlier to lock in at an SP of just $3.20.
As we mentioned in our preview, there’s absolutely nothing that we can see coming from #2 Pisarro and #8 Music of the Night, and – unfortunately for our value – we were proven well and truly correct as the market decided to pull all the way back in.
In terms of pace, we had #2 Pisarro as the one to trail before running out of stamina – and come the 1000m mark this all began to fall into place as we sit comfortably in 3rd a half a length ahead.
Coming up to the turn was where we ran into the trouble, with #2 Pisarro simply too close to the flank to allow us to get off the barrier whilst #3 Mental Telepathy ($10.00) was able to take full advantage of the stitch coming on #8 Music of the Night to push out through the center and our trifecta into the barrier.
Zahra had a wicked go at it as he pulled the break across diagonally but it was obvious we’d left nothing in the tank with the position good but at a massive cost to stamina as we try to make up for lost time kissing the barrier.
It was a massive effort to bring it down from a 4.00L rort to just 1.25L but a huge final run from #3 Mental Telepathy was enough to sink it as the 6 year old put in a fantastic burst at the 150m mark for a well deserved win.
Surprisingly the barrier played a massive part in locking up our effort today – something we don’t usually expect when it comes to such small field sizes and with plenty of room to run – with the very questionable decision to go tight early turning into a big danger as #2 Pisarro followed tight from early on.
Outside of that, we’re not disappointed with the go at it here – although the massive plunge in price was certainly expected as we warned in the preview.
Heading into R4 and it’s a very strange result as we take a comfortable lead at the 650m mark with a strong $9.00 at SP against an abysmal $7.78 at BSP.
Coming into the turn it was neck and neck against a very strong run from $26.00 #7 Fleurmosa whilst #1 Seatonic sat 3rd before it looked like the ripcord was pulled on #6 La Maestra as we push all the way back from the 1st/2nd battle to end up dead last by a whopping 11.70L as Philpot makes the decision to put the brakes on.
#1 Seatonic, of course, gets the cup for the best performance here as a very unusual butt-frozen-in-the-air position from Nugent acts like a trigger for the 3 year old as he shoots out to claim victory up the middle pushing the margin all the way out at 50m to 2.80L.
Although we weren’t expecting a recovery from an obviously exhausted #6 La Maestra after being stuck up against the barrier in an awkward late position, it’s very strange to see all of the fight go out of a runner like an inflated balloon – so we’ll be following this one up in case this is a warning sign of something wrong in an otherwise solid early run.
Heading into the last for the day across the 1400m as we go out very late indeed to pick up $6.00 on #1 Left Hand Man despite the scratching of #6 Jumbo Ozaki as punters successfully jump to #8 Falls as we miss out on the one collect we needed by just 0.30L.
Jumping strongly out the gate, we had a solid outside position early with #11 Triguboff and a wicked go at it from $91 wheelbarrow #4 Jemadar as we lock in a leading position exactly where we needed it to be.
A very early jet from #7 Minyinga cleared up some of the traffic – with the late stitch seeing the 5 year old succumb to 7th position off the back of going at it far too early while we sit with a comfortable pace in the pack leaders.
Coming to the turn and it was #8 Falls – who we were wary of being the one to take us down – who managed to shoot up and put the pressure on #7 Minyinga.
Perhaps the most damaging to us was the position taken by #12 Chuck a Luck coming to the 450m mark as we threatened to be sandwiched in; stuck unable to capitalise as we put in a MASSIVE effort to go right between #8 Falls and #11 Triguboff as it became a two horse race between our $6.00 pop and the $3.20 favie.
From a racing stand-point; it doesn’t get much better than this, with an epic fight from our end not quite enough to make up for the traffic that held us back before – as the slice through the middle comes just a tad too late to make up for it as #8 Falls still had enough in the tank to keep the neck ahead.
A disappointing result to our small set of bets as we once again end up taking a pair of 2nds – one locking in a small profit and the other hopeful for a break even.
Although we had our prices torn apart in the first position, we actually managed to maintain fairly strong in the late markets against our other bets with the overlay locked in for both #1 Left Hand Man and #6 La Maestra.
In terms of sheer performance we’re not too worried with the runners today; with just #6 La Maestra bringing up a couple of questions around a possible issue with that late pull up.
Outside of that, we correctly picked some high value horses who put in admiral performances – with just the timing of the escape letting us down across the board as we get stuck in traffic right across the card despite the relatively small field sizes.
It’s rare that we’ll see so many cases where jockey strategic decision has such a strong impact but we’d arguably say that both R3 and R4 were perfect examples of the horses being held back by the humans rather than the other way around.
All in all, it was worth the bet and we managed to hit the in-play numbers we needed to validate all but #6 La Maestra – it’s just a shame that we failed to see the 2nds converted into anything solid.
As mentioned in our update earlier this morning – we’ll be settling all 2nd/3rds affected by the issue around race terms as losers – so that means R3 is a full stake loss on the official results.
We don’t usually see issues around terms these days but it does happen every now and then and the Corporates reserve the right to make changes all the way up to the jump. Although we use multiple sources because we’ve had this case a couple of times with Pointsbet, this time it managed to slip through the net.
We should hopefully also be back up to results alignment in a moment – unfortunately we appear to have lost the review from Saturday due to some issues around the data there, but the numbers are being settled to reflect on the official results sheet so bear with us as it may look a bit funky as we have to align it up manually.
With new fixes in, hopefully that’s the last of the hassles that we see for now.
A quick reminder that there is also racing on Friday and Saturday, and we’ll be sending out updates closer to the usual release time if there are any changes.
R3 - 16:50PM - Long Fine Plate (2400m)
R4 - 17:25PM - Ladbrokes Back Yourself Handicap (1000m)
R8 - 19:30PM - Thoroughbred Club Handicap (1400m)
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